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China’s Maritime Ambitions

China is finding that projecting power at sea is harder than it looks.  It is not just a matter of building ships and planes.  It isn’t even about having bases in the area.  Other nations – at least some of them – have to cooperate with you.  The Philippines is playing a shrewd game with the Chinese at sea.  Check out this article in Foreign Policy by Professor James Holmes of the Naval War College which lays out a good case.   Any article about Chinese military power that mentions the Roman general Fabius Cunctator is a winner in my book.

MGD

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Crashed Second World War RAF Fighter Found in Egyptian Desert

A crashed Royal Air Force P-40 Kittyhawk fighter has been found in the desert of Egypt, well-preserved by the dry heat of the Sahara.  The pilot’s remains have not been found near the craft, indicating that he, identified now as 24-year-old Flight Sergeant Dennis Copping, likely tried to walk back to his own forces, and perished in the attempt.  The fighter is a monument, in its own way, to all those brave men who died lonely deaths during the Second World War, unknown to either friend or foe.

MGD

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Wired Weapons and their Vulnerabilities

Here is the Foreign Policy interview with defense futurist Peter Singer.  Singer is a consultant on the new Call of Duty: Black Ops II videogame.  The interview touches upon issues that previously had only been in the realm of science fiction.  What happens if an enemy hacks our own weaponry and turns them against us?

I think that the rush to make everything wired and connected has made for new vulnerabilities with our weapons.  You couldn’t hack a P-51, but what about one of our advanced drones?

At least someone is thinking about this.

MGD

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Japan’s Armament and China’s Rise

Michael Auslin in his piece Japan Awakens in Foreign Policy captures well the strategic predicament of modern China.  Japan is increasing its military capability, with an eye toward deterring Chinese moves in the East China Sea and elsewhere.  A cursory glance at the map of East Asia will reveal that China, a continental power, is surrounded all along its maritime periphery by islands or other territories under the control of states that are not friendly to it.  The sea lanes around China are intensely vulnerable to disruption.  The Chinese navy, without significant overseas bases, is effectively boxed in by its prospective opponents, just as Imperial Germany’s High Seas Fleet was cornered by the Royal Navy before and during the First World War.

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China and the United Sates – Are they on a Collision Course?

There is a good discussion at today’s The New York Times about whether a new cold war between America and China is in the offing.  China’s economy is growing very quickly, as is its military, but China is not as powerful as many alarmists seem to believe.   China is surrounded by nations that are, by and large, not friendly to it, and are necessarily threatened by perceived aggressive or expansionist moves by their massive neighbor.   We can’t ignore geography and the role that it plays in the geopolitical thinking of the world’s great powers.

The U.S. seeks to balance out China, in much the same way that Britain balanced out European powers on the Continent in the nineteenth century.  The U.S. should not take this too far, however, because China’s actual power – what it can exert or project across the Asia-Pacific region – is more limited than a simple calculus of the numbers of soldiers, ships, airplanes, and tanks would suggest.

Everyone should take a deep breath and calm down.

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MHQ Spring 2012 – Now for Kindle!

MHQ Magazine has been the nation’s foremost journal of scholarly military history for more than two decades.  Its authors are all professionally published, and typically are noted authorities on the topics about which they write.  MHQ has been available for years in a glossy, perfect-bound format, appearing four times a year.  It has always been known for its elegant layout and wonderful artwork, in addition to its top-notch writing.  Now it is available as a download for Amazon’s Kindle family, and I decided to take a look at how the magazine translates to the electronic e-reader format.

Happily, it looks great, especially on the Kindle Fire, which is full color, and so does not lose any of the rich, vibrant hues found in the print magazine.  Navigation is relatively simple – nothing electronic will be so easy as thumbing through a print edition of course, but if you have used an e-reader before, such as the Fire, an older version of the Kindle, or the Nook, for that matter, you will quickly pick up the tricks of moving through the electronic edition.

The articles are the same as those that you would find in the print journal, and have not been abridged in any way.  Each article averages between three and four thousand words, and can be comfortably read in about twenty minutes.  This is important, as I envision that most will read the magazine on their Kindles an article or feature at a time, perhaps while on the train to work, or over a lunch break, not cover to cover.

Features new to the magazine with this issue include Weapons Check, which is a look at an individual weapon of significance in military history.  I enjoyed this very much – an examination of the Danish “Viking” axe of around 950 A.D.  These were devastating weapons, and it is said, a wielder could fell a rider and his horse with one in a single blow.  That sounds pretty potent to me, but these big axes disappeared from European warfare, for the most part, by the end of the eleventh century.  In my previous reading the reason for this was never truly answered.  Was it simply fashion, or was it something more substantive?  The Normans came in for a big shock at the Battle of Hastings in 1066 when the Anglo-Danish huscarls of King Harold Godwinson showed up carrying these man-killers.  The author, Chris McNab, helpfully suggests that the introduction of longer swords, poleaxes, and halberds made the use of the axe inadvisable.  It simply lacked the reach to cope.

The old standby, Fighting Words, by Christine Ammer, which examines the development of military terminology, is also in the Kindle edition.  Did you know that “belfry” was originally a movable siege tower with a pivoting ramp at the top?  Later, it became the term for the church tower where bats hang out.  Also, a constable was a high-ranking official who held command of a castle, but when the title was switched to the civilian realm, it received a demotion, and a constable ranked below that of sheriff.  Today, it signifies a policeman in the United Kingdom.

The cover article is “The 27-Day Secret War,” which relates the remarkable achievements of a handful of American special forces who guided precision airstrikes against Taliban targets in late-2001. The rapidity of the fall of the Taliban regime was stunning, and only throws into stark relief the difficulties that allied forces have encountered since then, now that the Taliban have regrouped. The photograph of the commando on the cover, “Cowboy,” true name and rank unknown, is almost worth the price of the issue.

“Payback” is Alistair Horne’s telling of the Doolittle Raid on Japan in April 1942. Seventy years have passed since eighty American airmen in sixteen B-25 bombers took off from the deck of the USS Hornet on a one-way mission. They lacked the fuel to return to the Hornet, and even if they had carried it, they could not have landed their big aircraft on its deck. The actual damage that they inflicted on Japan was minimal, but the psychological impact of their raid was enormous. The Japanese would overreach themselves in trying to plug the gap in their defenses through which the Hornet had slipped, and lose four aircraft carriers at the Battle of Midway less than two months later.

“The Fireball at Zonchio” is the story of a Venetian-Ottoman Turkish naval battle of 1499. One of the many things that I enjoy about MHQ is that I learn something new with every issue. At Zonchio, the Turks sailed with two large carracks – think a primitive version of one of Nelson’s ships-of-the-line.  It was armed with cannon, but also, in a nod to the Mediterranean’s fickle winds, could deploy oars for use when the wind failed. I had never read of these Turkish ships before, which must have stood out from the great mass of low-slung war galleys that were the mainstays of Mediterranean naval tactics.  As you probably have guessed, the fireball of Zonchio was caused by the detonation of the gunpowder stored aboard one of these vessels in a truly horrific explosion that, in the fifteenth century, truly was something new under the sun.

But the Venetians had little to cheer after Zonchio. The civic spirit that had made Venice a medieval maritime great power was not in evidence in the battle, and internal rivalries hampered the Venetian battle plan. They failed to capitalize on their initial successes, not least of which was the destruction of the Turkish carrack, and the Turks not only survived the battle, which might otherwise have proved a crushing Venetian victory, but went on to win the war.

Joseph E. Persico has contributed an opinion piece, “Did Roosevelt Doom Us to a Longer War?” in which he takes President Roosevelt to task for unnecessarily delaying the invasion of Europe. Persico makes some valid points, but I think that all second-guessing of Allied military strategy in the Second World War tends to overlook or undervalue the crucial role played by the Soviets in breaking the back of the German Wehrmacht. The German army of June 1944 was powerful, but it was nothing compared to the mighty force that could have, and would have, been deployed to France if the Western Allies had opted to land there in the summer of 1943. Instead, the panzer troops, as well as dozens of crack infantry divisions, were decimated in the brutal 1943 combat at Kursk and elsewhere that eventually saw the Germans thrown back all along the eastern front. About 80% of all German losses occurred in the East. That just about says it all.

MHQ for Kindle is available from Amazon’s Kindle Store by subscription for $2.99 a month, or $11.99 per single issue. The Kindle is a fine way to enjoy the magazine, possessing all of the advantages of portability found in an e-reader, without sacrificing the visual appeal of the print issue.  I recommend the Kindle Fire, on account of its color screen, but the electronic edition looked great on my older e-ink model too.

MGD

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Littoral Combat Ship: Hit or Miss?

The New York Times is running a story today that is interesting, but has left me confused.   Is the Littoral Combat Ship a winner or a dud?  It seems that the Independence class vessel – and there is an entirely separate and brand-new class of ship that will also be doing the same job, the Freedom class – is costly, and one example has developed a leak.  Not a good sign in a boat.  But the Navy promises that the costs will be brought down from $700 million a copy to a mere $400 million.  I suppose that is a Pentagon bargain these days.

I have severe doubts about the concept of the Littoral Combat Ship (LCS).  It is supposed to be able to operate close to shore – the littoral – but that seems like an iffy proposition.  The prevalence of cheap antiship missiles and even cheaper mines will make going close to shore an unwise move.  The argument is that the LCS will be well-suited for such missions with its mine-hunting capability.  Let’s hope so.  The LCS may be less expensive than an Arleigh Burke class destroyer with all the electronic bells and whistles, but sailing into an opponent’s “front yard” is hardly a good strategy unless you have already assured command of the sea up to the coastal waters.  Even then, things can get ugly.  The Royal Navy and French Navy both had a tough time of things during the 1915 Gallipoli campaign, and took severe losses from mines alone.  Getting close to the coast without assuring dominance is just not a wise move.

MGD

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Shocking Development – New Pentagon Bomber Looks Set for Massive Cost Overruns

The Atantic website is running a great article “Why Can’t the Air Force Build an Affordable Plane?” from military correspondent David Axe, who asks why the Air Force is incapable of building an affordable bomber.  This is a very good question, and is something that could be asked about a great many weapons systems now in development for the United States military.   Current bombers, such as the B-1 and B-2, are expensive to buy and costly to operate.  A B-2 “stealth” bomber costs $135,000 per hour to fly.  Even the comparatively cheaper B-1 still costs $65,000 an hour of flight.   Imagine ditching a Ferrari every hour that a B-2 is in the air – you get the picture.

The solution was to build the simpler and cheaper “Long Range Strike Bomber” for $550 million per machine that could be acquired in large numbers.   But as is often the case, a funny thing happened on the way to cheap simplicity.   The technological targets for each new aircraft under development have a way of rising ever higher, until the inexpensive machine first promised is freakishly expensive when it at last rolls out of the factory.   Each new machine is stuffed with ever more advanced and expensive equipment.  The Long Range Strike Bomber may or may not be piloted remotely.  The original vision called for it to be remotely operated so as to keep down costs.  This, however, is easier said than done for an aircraft that is expected to fly in heavily defended environments.  The Air Force brass much prefers a piloted machine.  It may or may not be capable of carrying nuclear weaponry.  If the Air Force later decides that it should be able to carry nukes it will make the bomber more expensive.

All this is occurring in an era when government budgets at the federal, state, and local levels are being cut harshly.   The question this article raises is a good one.  Read the article here:  http://www.theatlantic.com/national/archive/2012/03/why-cant-the-air-force-build-an-affordable-plane/254998/

MGD