When I first began posting earlier this year about the naval rivalry in East Asia, I judged that the “cold war” stand-off would continue indefinitely. All countries in the region, especially China, have too much to lose if the dispute should ever turn hot. Peace is much better than war for an economy. But recent events centering on the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands have me worried that the already tense situation could spiral out of control if the feuding nations do not step back from the brink. All parties involved should read Barbara Tuchman’s The Guns of August. The danger of a catastrophic miscalculation is too great. Read about the latest flare-up here.
Additionally, James R. Holmes, flat-out the best naval writer on the web, has written a great analysis of the possible match-up of Japan and China in a naval war.
Marc De Santis