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America Pivots to the Pacific

Professor James Holmes of the Naval War College is fast becoming one of my favorite web authors. I have blogged about one of his articles before, and this week he has produced another fine piece in Foreign Policy about U.S. strategy in the Pacific, Is America Pivoting Fast Enough to the Pacific? Now that the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan are winding down (hopefully), the Pentagon is moving to bolster American forces in the Pacific.

China will prove to be tough customer in any fight.  The U.S. should be wary of sticking its nose too far into the South China Sea dispute. It is not our territory, and never will be. We don’t want China to steamroll every other Asian nation, but the militaries of those front line countries should be putting forward the bulk of the forces to defend against possible Chinese moves.

Also, Holmes points out that the new LCS – Littoral Combat Ship – about which I have also previously blogged, is not as powerful as a conventional destroyer or similar surface ship. They are not meant to duke it out with the Chinese navy in the South China Sea. Fair enough. But then why are we building them at all if they are so comparatively weak? I understand that they will have uses other than in a full battle, such as fighting pirates or clearing mines, but wouldn’t some smaller, less expensive craft be suitable for such missions? I would prefer a better PT-style boat, armed with guns and a few missiles, not a weak but still expensive frigate that isn’t really a frigate.

During the nineteenth century, the Royal Navy found itself scattered across the globe on various imperial missions. The relative decline of the main fleet in Britain itself caused the German navy chief Alfred von Tirpitz to believe that he could build a fleet that could challenge the Royal Navy in its home waters, his thinking being that Britain’s overseas commitments would render it unable to collect all of its much larger navy back home to resist the German fleet.

He was wrong – very wrong. The British indeed recognized the German threat as paramount, and pulled back most of their forces from overseas stations. They also improved relations with the U.S., which obviated the need for a powerful North American squadron, and concentrated on building big capital ships to maintain their edge over the Germans.

But the damage was already done. The Germans had spooked the British like nothing else had since Napoleon. The anti-German alliance hardened, and Britain was inclined to see every additional ship launched by the Germans as a threat to their existence.  The seeds of the First World War were sown in large part because Germany misjudged Britain’s determination to remain the world’s foremost naval power.

The U.S should not become confused about its priorities. Fighting piracy and other such things are useful, but the role of the navy is to safeguard America, not other nations. To do this, it has to be able to either deter or dissuade other navies from taking hostile actions against it. That means powerful combatants. The LCS does not seem like it is meant to be that kind of a ship.

Not every ship must be powerful. Sometimes a navy needs large numbers of a ship at a low cost. World War Two-era Fletcher class destroyers were not overwhelmingly powerful. But they were true combatants, and did their job well. They were also backed up by large numbers of other ships. Does the building of the LCS take away from funds that might go into fewer but better ships, such as the Arleigh Burke class destroyer? At root, this is a question about how effective the LCS will be in a stand up seafight. I don’t know the answer to that.

This brings up another, fundamental question: Can the Pentagon make anything inexpensively? Does every weapon system have to be equipped with all the bells and whistles? This drives up development time and costs, and makes the finished product all the more expensive. There are some things that will never be cheap, such as a nuclear submarine or an aircraft carrier. If the question is fighting seaborne piracy, however, and it is safe to assume that pirates are not operating destroyers, then a smaller ship is a sufficient solution. I suppose the LCS is meant to be a more affordable ship, but I worry that too many sacrifices were made to keep the price (relatively) low.

MGD


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My Old Enemy and the Former Friend of My Possible Future Enemy is Kind of My New Friend

China’s rise, and resulting territorial and maritime ambitions, have caused a number of other Asian nations to look to the United States for backup.  One of these countries is none other than Vietnam.  You all remember Vietnam, don’t you?

Yes, that Vietnam.  Robert D. Kaplan has a lengthy article in the current The Atlantic Monthly.  Apart from highlighting the strategic difficulties that China’s power has caused it – it is scaring other countries into the U.S. “camp”- it contains an illuminating explanation as to why the Vietnamese have gotten past the war, which FYI, they call the “American War.”

Nutshell:  They believe that they won it.

MGD

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Battle of Blackwater

Yes, it was a spectacular episode.  Game of Thrones spent an entire hour on the crucial Battle of Blackwater, in which the soldiers of Stannis Baratheon are repulsed by those loyal to Joffrey Lannister.

Tyrion, my favorite character, proves himself to be the real leader of men in King’s Landing.   Read Scott Meslow’s take on the episode in The Atlantic here.

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Great Book Alert

 

The Taste of War: World War II and the Battle for Food 

by Lizzie Collingham

I recently finished The Taste of War by Lizzie Collingham. The subject is the role that food played in causing World War II and how the war was conducted. Germany wanted food security and sought to establish an agrarian empire in Russia. The Nazis planned on starving millions in the process. Japan sought a similar empire in China, and millions of Chinese perished because of the disruptions to agriculture brought on by the Japanese invasion.

Britain could get food from its colonies, but German submarines made this a very tenuous way to feed an island nation. The Russians had the dual misfortune of seeing their food plundered by the Germans and then being underfed by Stalin. America came out pretty well. It alone grew more food during the war than it had before it, and Americans were subject to few of the food restrictions that the peoples of other combatant nations endured.

If you prefer your military history suffused with the acrid smell of gunsmoke, this is not that kind of book. There is only a handful of examples of actual warfare in it. Instead, this is a magisterial, big picture work of history that will change – or at least greatly enhance – your understanding of the Second World War.

The Taste of War is available from Amazon here.

MGD


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China’s Maritime Ambitions

China is finding that projecting power at sea is harder than it looks.  It is not just a matter of building ships and planes.  It isn’t even about having bases in the area.  Other nations – at least some of them – have to cooperate with you.  The Philippines is playing a shrewd game with the Chinese at sea.  Check out this article in Foreign Policy by Professor James Holmes of the Naval War College which lays out a good case.   Any article about Chinese military power that mentions the Roman general Fabius Cunctator is a winner in my book.

MGD

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Crashed Second World War RAF Fighter Found in Egyptian Desert

A crashed Royal Air Force P-40 Kittyhawk fighter has been found in the desert of Egypt, well-preserved by the dry heat of the Sahara.  The pilot’s remains have not been found near the craft, indicating that he, identified now as 24-year-old Flight Sergeant Dennis Copping, likely tried to walk back to his own forces, and perished in the attempt.  The fighter is a monument, in its own way, to all those brave men who died lonely deaths during the Second World War, unknown to either friend or foe.

MGD

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Wired Weapons and their Vulnerabilities

Here is the Foreign Policy interview with defense futurist Peter Singer.  Singer is a consultant on the new Call of Duty: Black Ops II videogame.  The interview touches upon issues that previously had only been in the realm of science fiction.  What happens if an enemy hacks our own weaponry and turns them against us?

I think that the rush to make everything wired and connected has made for new vulnerabilities with our weapons.  You couldn’t hack a P-51, but what about one of our advanced drones?

At least someone is thinking about this.

MGD